My current research focuses on the study of the non-linear association between temperature and mortality. I am developing distributed lag non-linear models to assess the socioeconomic inequalities in adaptation to extreme temperatures and Bayesian models to study the temperature-mortality association at small area level.
My tasks in the Blue-Action project are to evaluate uncertainties associated with the epidemiological models and the forecasts of heat-atttributable deaths.
My main area of research is climate dynamics and variability. I have a PhD degree in Physics and undergraduate degree in Mathematics. I focus on climate predictability at sub-seasonal to seasonal, inter-annual and decadal timescales. I am also interested in how climate forecasts can be used within various impact models to increase their predictive lead time, and to develop useful climate services in help of vulnerable communities and decision makers.
In the Blue-Action project I am responsible for the provision and analysis of the skill of weather forecasts that are to be used in epidemiological models of temperature-related mortality.
I have a PhD in Bioinformatics (Public Health) from the Pompeu Fabra University (Barcelona, Spain). My current research is focused on the health effects of climate change and rising temperatures, the identification of different vulnerable population groups and the definition and improvement of adaptation mesures to cope with climate change.
My tasks in the Blue-Action project are to model the relation between temperature and mortality (using DLNM) and generate forecasts of heat-attributable deaths.
The primary focus of my research is the link between climate variability and health impacts. I aim to describe the major sources of vulnerability, and if, which and to what extent societies have already started to adapt to climate change. I am also analyzing weather and climate predictability at a range of timescales, from days to seasons, so that it can be used for the generation of skilful early warning systems of disease risk.
I am in charge of the supervision and coordination of the Blue-Action project.